Here is my prediction for the November election; McCain in a landslide. The reason; pure and simple racism.
If this election breaks down like 2000 and 2004, then the margins are very tight. Democrats will vote for Obama, Republicans will vote for McCain and swing-voters will vote against Obama for one or all of three reasons. He is very liberal, he is black and he has a Muslim name. The first of those reasons is the only one that should count, but I don't believe that will be the case.
While overt racism is not rampant in this country anymore, there are certainly many people, especially older voters, who still have strong racist tendencies. And as I noted in my previous post, we are all symbolic racists unless we are black.
Whether we admit it or not, and most have no problem admitting it, the past 20+ years of Islamist terrorism have given us a distrust of Muslims. Having the name Barack Hussein Obama is certainly not a plus for a candidate at this point in U.S. history.
In the past two Presidential elections a movement of one percent in many states would have created overwhelming electoral majorities. It is my opinion, based on nothing but having lived in this country all my life, that there is much more than one percent that will vote against Senator Obama out of racist feelings.
This is my opinion, and everyone is welcome to point out how wrong I was if Obama wins in November.
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2 comments:
I hope you're wrong, not only for the underlying assumption, but also for the results if that's the case.
I'd like to think that Obama's success to-date points to signs...maybe, you could be.
But then we have Billary's comments of this week: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-05-07-clintoninterview_N.htm
Given the source...Still, you realize there's an audience for that dialogue.
Still, one can hope that there's enough folks out there that see through that tripe and vote accordingly. One can hope.
J.R. - I think you're right about the outcome, Obama cannot defeat McCain. I'm not sure about it being a landslide. My 2 cents on the presidential candidates: McCain is a Liberal, Clinton is a Socialist, Obama is a Marxist. We conservatives don't have a horse in this race. This whole country has really slid to the left over the last 20 years. I'm afraid scary times may be ahead.
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